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Gloomy Expectation

February 18th, 2009

gangtiechukou The General Administration of Customs announced on February 11, that the growth of China’s steel export that has lasted as long as 10 years finally declined by 5.5 percent year-on-year in 2008, which was a warn of threat to the field this year.

Customs said on its website that the steel export in China fell down to 59.23 million tons in 2008 whereas the export value has climbed up to $63.44 billion, with an increase of 43.8 percent year-on-year. While look back to the recent months, we can see that steel exports decreased to 1.91 million tons in January, dropping 40 percent year-on-year, and the import of iron ore 32.65 million tons, dropping 5 percent from December 2008.

Steel exported each month reached the summit of 7.68 million tons in August, but it declined to 2.95 million tons in November which is the lowest point since 2007, although there was a minor increase to 3.17 million tons in December.

As a result, Customs addressed their admonishing that this year would see no improvement in this sector.

According to statistics by foreign research organization, new orders would decline substantially as the result of the cut of global demand by more than 10 percent. It takes place even in China’s major markets. For example, it’s estimated that the demand in South Korea will drop by 9.5 percent while the United States by 11 percent, and Japan by over 30 percent. And the winter last year witnessed the beginning of dramatic drop of steel export orders in China.

Customs also warned the industry of the deteriorating trade conflicts against steel products that were made in China. That’s because some trade partners of the same line were anxious to safeguard their industries from the global financial recession. They may either evolve anti-dumping and countervailing cases against Chinese steel products, or upraise the import tariff.

It also added that the competitiveness was weakened after China was forced to revalue the yuan.

 

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