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Slower export growth

July 14th, 2008

According to the statistics released by the Customs, the export growth in June dropped by 20.6 percent to $21.35 billion, compared with that of May which witnessed a growth of 28.1 percent. Experts attribute the slowdown to the shrinking demand caused by the global economic slowdown and the increasing pressure on Chinese manufacturers because of yuan appreciation and high raw material cost. Based on this, it is estimated the export slowdown may continue in the next half of the year, forcing the government to reconsider certain export-related policies.

Some insiders said that the declining export growth is attributable to the rising labor and raw material costs, and the government’s tightening policies implemented since last year. And the global economic slowdown is making the situation worse.

The custom figures also show that the trade between China and India is increasing the fastest among China’s major trading partners. The bilateral trade stands at $29 billion, up 69 percent. EU remains China’s largest trade partner, followed by the US. And the imports of primary goods increased fast, which many be caused by the increasing price of the commodities in the international market.

An analyst with HSBC, said that the figures should raise people’s expectations on favorable government policies for export sectors. For example, the textile industry has called for a rise in export tax rebate. And Chinese government has since last years lowered or even removed the export tax rebate of some productions to curb the trade surplus. But some sectors are struggling as a result of a global slowdown, yuan appreciation and rising operating costs, hampering exports anyway.

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